Happy Monday all! Hopefully last weekend’s snowfall melted quickly for you and Spring began to bloom on Sunday. Let’s take a look at what the week ahead has in store.
Monday
Southern New England is socked in with overcast Monday as an ocean storm exiting off the East Coast passes southeast of the region. The system may brush the south coast with a sprinkle or two. Afternoon temperatures in the upper 40s for southern and central areas; near 40 north.
Monday Precipitation Forecast – WeatherBell, LLC
Tuesday
On Tuesday a vigorous piece of atmospheric energy approaches the region from the west-northwest out of the Great Lakes. Shown below is the upper atmospheric vorticity (think energy) chart for tomorrow.
Tuesday 500 mb Vorticity – WeatherBell, LLC
So while afternoon temperatures may only reach into the low 50s for most of New England, the atmospheric energy diving out the of the Great Lakes may trigger a rumble of thunder or two. Currently, the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK has most of New England under a Marginal Risk for severe weather.
SPC Day 2 Outlook
Tuesday afternoon a line of thunderstorms may try to form in eastern New York state and push eastward through the area. Rain exits the coast around 8 pm.
Tuesday Afternoon Simulated Radar – WeatherBell, LLC
Wednesday
Wednesday morning will be a chilly one as the system exiting the coast Tuesday night brings with it a round of cold air. Lows in many locations will dip into the 20s.
Wednesday AM Low Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
Temperatures are slow to rebound during the day with afternoon highs only in the 40s south and 30s north.
Thursday
Temperatures begin to rebound on Thursday with afternoon highs in the 50s south and 40s north as another storm system pushes up from the southwest.
Thursday Afternoon Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
Friday
There is a bit of model disagreement for Friday’s forecast as a storm system moves past the region. Some models have the bulk of precipitation offshore while others bring it through the area. The below image provides the probability of a location receiving greater than 0.1″ of rainfall Friday. As you can see, the probabilities steadily increase the further south one lives. Afternoon temperatures near 60.
Friday Rainfall >0.1″ Probabilities – WeatherBell, LLC
Weekend Preview
Right now it looks like Saturday is the pick of the weekend as yet another round of precipitation moves through the region on Sunday.
-Chris
Hello all! Hoping that you are all healthy and well. Let’s take a look at this weekend’s forecast. Which includes a bit of shade thrown our direction by Mother Nature.
Friday
Friday begins mainly clear with a few high clouds, but during the day clouds will overspread the region as a storm system approaches from the west. A cool day overall, afternoon temperatures approach 50 south; 40s elsewhere.
Friday Afternoon Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
The reason for the cooler temperatures is an unseasonably cold airmass over all. Temperatures aloft are quite chilly, many degrees below freezing. This air mass will allow for Saturday mornings weather to feature snow in many locations.
850 mb (~4K ft) Temperatures- WeatherBell, LLC
Friday Night into Saturday
Early in the overnight hours Friday evening precipitation moves in from the west. For many locations it will fall as snow. Important note that this is a southern New England only system.
Overnight Friday into Saturday Precipitation – WeatherBell, LLC
At the end of the loop notice how the precipitation changes back to a light rain. This time of year in order for snow to reach the surface it needs to be falling at a steady rate, dragging colder air to the surface. Remember, it is mid-April and the atmosphere primarily wants to be above freezing.
Saturday Morning Snowfall
Sunday
While snow this time of year is high unwanted, it does melt fairly quickly. Just like Thursday mornings snow, Saturday will melt away quickly and Sunday will be a great day.
Sunday Afternoon Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
Early Next Week
An ocean storm grazes the region on Monday followed by another potential snow maker……..for Maine and the mountains.
-Chris
Hello all and a happy Tuesday to you. Hopefully yesterday’s rain and wind took it easy on you and you’re only picking up a few sticks this morning. Regarding the rest of the work week, things look relatively quiet. Which is nice considering how active of a pattern we have been.
Tuesday
Tuesday Morning Visible Satellite – College of DuPage
Only a few high clouds in the sky this morning, but there are clouds gathering to our southwest. A weak disturbance will pass south of the region tomorrow. Afternoon temperatures in the 50s south, central and east; 40s north and west.
Wednesday
Wednesday Forecast Precipitation Totals – WeatherBell, LLC
A weak storm system passes south of the region Wednesday and brushes Cape Cod and the Islands with light rainfall. Clouds and light rain may last throughout the day, but total precipitation looks low. Afternoon temperatures only near 50 south, central and east; 40s north and west.
Thursday
Thursday Afternoon High Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
Cooler still on Thursday with afternoon temperatures stuck in the 40s for many; 30s further north. A morning sprinkle or snow flake can’t be ruled out across southern New England.
Friday
Friday Afternoon High Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
Another weak system approaches the region from the west. The system is obvious over Pennsylvania where temperatures are stuck in the 30s. Afternoon temperatures across New England range from near 50 south to 30s north.
Weekend Preview
The storm system over Pennsylvania Friday looks to graze southern New England early Saturday. Meanwhile a storm system from the southeast states swings up the coast Sunday night.
-Chris
Sunday Morning National Radar – College of DuPage
A storm system exiting the four corners region is intensifying over the Great Plains this morning. This storm is dominating the forecast for the next couple days as evidenced by the current hazards outlook from the National Weather Service.
Current Hazards Map – NWS
Consistent with many early spring storm systems, heavy snow and occasional blizzard (pink and purple) conditions are expected north of the storm center while a severe weather outbreak is expected across Dixie Alley (see below). Further northeast across the Great Lakes and Northeast states, High Wind Watches (golden yellow) have been issued for tomorrow.
SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has issued a large Moderate risk (level 4 of 5) for today’s severe thunderstorm potential across the southeast. The ongoing convection across eastern Texas in the radar loop at the top, will grow and mature downstream in an environment favorable for damaging thunderstorms, including tornadoes.
HRRR Simulated Radar – College of DuPage
Closer to Home
Sunday Afternoon Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
A rather delightful Sunday is in store for the northeast today with temperatures approaching 60 F for southern and central New England. Cooler temperatures across Maine where snow still covers the ground.
Monday
As the storm system across the southeast matures and moves north it will create a very wet and windy Monday for New England.
Monday Simulated Radar Loop – College of DuPage
Early after Midnight heavy rain and downpours will move up from the south and be with us for most of the day. During the afternoon the rain will become more scattered in nature and an occasional rumble of thunder may be heard. At the same time, a strong low level jet will move through the region. Winds just above the surface will be quite strong.
925 mb Wind Speeds Monday Afternoon – College of DuPage
Wind speeds only a few thousand feet above the surface will be roaring along at upwards of 100 mph. During the heavy downpours, these winds may mix to the surface and cause damage. Below is an image from the NWS Boston office with anticipated wind gusts tomorrow.
Monday Wind Gust Potential – NWS Boston
The potential for power outages is relatively high tomorrow, especially the further south and east one resides.
Rest of the Work Week
The remainder of the week looks relatively quiet. An ocean storm passes far enough offshore that little precipitation is expected. Overall temperatures still look relatively cool with highs in the 50s for the most part. Maybe teasing 60 for a day or two.
Another central and northern New England snow threat for the weekend?
-Chris
Hello all and happy Tuesday to you! What a beautiful couple days we’ve had Monday and Tuesday this week. I hope that you were able to get out in the yard and enjoy it. But be careful, it may be April and temperatures may be cool, the sun is strong this time of year. Sunburns are possible as the suns “strength” is roughly the same as late August right now.
Tuesday
Tuesday Morning Satellite – College of DuPage
A dry northwest wind is bringing nothing but blue skies for our Tuesday. Afternoon temperatures in the low 60s south, 50s central and 40s north.
Wednesday
Those clouds to the west in the loop above will bring a sprinkle or two to southern New England during the early morning hours Wednesday. Other than that, Wednesday will be quiet, but cloudy with slightly cooler temperatures. Afternoon highs in the 50s south & central, 40s north.
Thursday
Thursday starts out quiet, but an energetic system moves though northern New England during the afternoon. A secondary area of low pressure will pop east of Boston and rapidly intensify. As it does, a robust precipitation shield will envelop northern New England bringing several inches of snow and strong winds overnight Thursday into Friday. Light rain for southern and central New England during the day Thursday.
Thursday MSLP & P-Type – WeatherBell, LLC
Friday
The storm system will slowly drift away Friday. As it does cooler air will move in. There is a little bit of moisture left in this air mass so a stray sprinkle or snowflake isn’t out of the question.
Friday MSLP & P-Type – WeatherBell, LLC
When all is said and done across Maine several inches of snow is likely. Here is the current forecast from the local National Weather Service office.
Caribou, Maine
NWS Caribou Snow Forecast
Gray, Maine
NWS Gray Snowfall Forecast
Weekend Preview
The weekend looks quiet for now with temperatures in the 40s Saturday and 50s Sunday. Cooler across Maine where snow cover will act like a refrigerator.
We are entering into a rather active looking pattern. A storm system every few days looks possible. If this were January, the snow lovers would be excited. Too bad it is April.
-Chris
Good morning all! Happy Friday…..I mean I think it’s Friday. The large ocean storm highlighted at the top of my last blog has its grips on New England at the moment.
Friday AM Satellite – College of DuPage
As the storm passes south of Nantucket today it will continue to lash the coast line with large surf and flooding. Inland, a constant northeast wind will only reinforce the cold raw morning we all have. A prolonged mist with occasional downpours will be the story of this Friday.
Eventually, the system will turn to the south and drift back out to sea. But that isn’t until later tonight.
Friday
Friday MSLP & P-Type – WeatherBell, LLC
Slowly but surely the storm center will drift away from Nantucket and back towards Bermuda. A never ending mist and cool northeast flow rule the day. Temperatures don’t improve much as they stick in the 40s all day.
Saturday
The storm center continues to drift away and things warm up slightly. Southeast Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands are still chilly with a northeast wind off the water. Afternoon temperatures near 50 elsewhere.
Saturday Afternoon Highs – WeatherBell, LLC
Sunday
Warmer still Sunday will be dry except for a rogue sprinkle north. Afternoon temperatures in the 50s south and central, 40s far north.
Sunday Afternoon Temperatures – WeatherBell, LLC
Work Week Preview
Quiet to start the week, but also cool. New England is located in the middle ground with warmer air trapped to the south and cold air north. Meaning a lot 50-60 degree days. Not terrible right?
-Chris
Chris Hampton Weather 