Hello all and a happy Monday to you. It’s a beautiful February Monday to boot with bright blue skies and warm temperatures.

The majority of the work week is quiet across New England except for Tuesday. The end of the work week brings the return of some more seasonable temperatures.

Monday

Monday Morning Satellite – College of DuPage

Just a few fair weather clouds dot the Monday morning sky. This won’t change throughout the day. Temperatures will be on the warmer side with afternoon temperatures in the 40s south, 30s central and 20s north.

Tuesday

Tuesday Precipitation Type – WeatherBell, LLC

An area of low pressure tracking north of the region will swing a period of precipitation through tomorrow late morning and afternoon. Everyone south of the Massachusetts turnpike starts and ends as rain. North of there, most locations start as snow, but quickly flip to rain. Snow accumulations should be light with only 1-2″ inches expected. Further north, more snow is expected.

NWS Snowfall Forecast

Currently the National Weather Service is expecting the highest snowfall amounts across the mountains of New Hampshire and Maine.

Wednesday -> Friday

Sunshine returns for the remainder of the work week, however temperatures do drop as the week progresses.

Wednesday; afternoon highs: 30s south, 20s, north.

Thursday; afternoon highs: 20s south, 10s central, single digits north.

Friday; afternoon highs: 20s south, 10s north.

Where’s the snow?

I don’t want to let my guard down because we’ve certainly had significant snowstorms into April, but one has to look pretty hard to feel optimistic about snowfall chances in southern New England.  Here is the output from last nights modeling ensemble guidance.  Shown below is the average snowfall through early March:

ECMWF Ensemble Snowfall Mean – WeatherBell, LLC

GFS Ensemble Snowfall Mean – WeatherBell, LLC

CMC Ensemble Snowfall Mean – WeatherBell, LLC

Based on these three computer guidance products, which represent the average snowfall for a series of computer model runs, the Boston metro area may only receive 3-6″ of snow through early March. The areas below average snowfall winter looks to continue.

In the word of the great Bill Belichick: We’re on to Spring.(?)

-Chris


Posted by in Forecast