If I had to describe the next 5 days or so in one word I think I would choose the word “messy”.  The next 5 days are filled with the chance of rain and maybe a little snow.  The longest stretch of “dry” weather we should see will come during the day on Sunday, but that will end quickly as rain will again move in Sunday night.

Why do I describe it as messy though?  Below is an image of vorticity from the ECMWF model.  For those of you without the degree in Meteorology, simply think of vorticity as energy.  And without making things too complicated, in general where you have energy, you have a chance of precipitation.  Looking at the image below, all of the different colors from light blue to yellows to reds and whites are energy in the atmosphere.  As you can see there are little pieces of energy everywhere and then there is the big stripe across the middle of the country.  The stripe across the middle of the country is a strong cold front, but all the other areas are the pieces of energy that will continue to give us chances of rain.  And since all these other areas remain on their own and can not congeal into one system, this is why I describe it as messy.

Messy Vort Map

 

In summary, chance of rain for the next 5 days.  Then a nice break it appears Wednesday through Saturday………with hints of a potential storm coming for sometime next weekend.  But that is very far off and there are only hints of a storm.  Have a good weekend.

7 DAY FORECAST

Today: Mostly cloudy.  Showers move in from the west during the afternoon.  Highs in the low 40s.  South wind 0-5 mph.

Tonight:  Mostly cloudy.  Chance of a shower overnight.  Lows 35-40.  Southwest wind 0-5 mph.

Saturday:  Mostly cloudy.  Chance of a shower.  Possibly a more steady rain along the south coast.  Highs around 45.  Variable winds 0-5 mph.

Sunday:  Better of the two weekend days.  Partly cloudy with highs in the upper 40s.  Increasing clouds during the late afternoon and evening hours.  This will bring a chance of rain overnight.  North wind 5-10 mph.

Monday:  Rain during the morning hours, steady at times.  Then we get a little break during the mid-morning and afternoon hours as we will only have a chance of a shower during this time.  Then during the evening hours and into the overnight, a cold front will bring a second round of steadier rain to our area.  Afternoon highs in the mid 50s.

Tuesday:  Mostly cloudy.  Light rain will move in during the afternoon and continue into the overnight where it may end in the form of some light snow.  Highs in the upper 30s to near 40.

Wednesday:  Finally a day without the mention of rain.  High pressure has moved in and will be in control for the rest of the work week.  Highs in the upper 30s.

Thursday & Friday: Partly cloudy with highs in the low 40s.

-Chris